The major influencing factors of international container
freight rate are:
(1) Supply and demand. The supply and demand of the
international container shipping market is the determinant
of the freight rate. In general, a liner’s shipping order ratio
for a voyage is a real-time measure of the supply and
demand situation for that voyage, while the loading ratio
after the voyage starts has a large impact on the liner’s
pricing strategy.
(2) Costs. The level of costs has a remarkable impact
on the freight rate. The main components of container
shipping costs are fixed investment in vessels and
containers, voyage operation cost, administrative
expenses, and financial expenses.
(3) Global economy. The demand for international
container shipping arises from global trade. Growth in
global container capacity and growth in global trade are
closely related. The international container freight rate is
also strongly linked to the global economic environment.
(4) Exchange rate. Exchange rate fluctuations can have
an impact on the cost control and profit calculation of liner
companies, thus affecting their freight rate.
(5) Geopolitics. Past or future policies or major events
that had or will have an impact on the global trade can
trigger a short-term swing in the freight rate and even
affect the long-term price trend.
(6) Other factors. Due to the diversity of goods and a
long transport chain, the international container freight
rate is impacted by many other factors, such as changes
in upstream or downstream industries, weather, port
strikes, anti-monopoly amendments, price negotiations for
long-term supply agreements, alliance restructuring, and
competition.
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