There are three main factors that impact depletion of oil reserves:
changes in global supply and demand, alternative energy sources,
and oil prices.
On the demand side, according to the BP Statistical Review of
World Energy 2020, in 1990, the OECD accounted for two-thirds
of global energy consumption and the developing countries
accounted for only one-third. However, by 2040, this proportion
will be almost completely reversed, with the non-OECD countries
accounting for two-thirds of the total energy demand. Most of the
increase in energy demand is concentrated in Asian developing
countries, such as India and China. The improvement in economic
development and living standards of these countries stimulates
the growth of energy consumption.
On the supply side, oil exploration has been moving to open seas,
deep waters, and onshore deep drilling. With the coming of the
U.S. oil revolution in 2011, producers are setting eyes on the oil
and gas resources formerly locked away in shale, which has greatly
increased the total recoverable reserves in the U.S.
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