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原油基本知识——What factors will aect the crude oil reserves depletion rate?

时间:2025-06-06

There are three main factors that impact depletion of oil reserves: 


changes in global supply and demand, alternative energy sources, 


and oil prices.


On the demand side, according to the BP Statistical Review of 


World Energy 2020, in 1990, the OECD accounted for two-thirds 


of global energy consumption and the developing countries 


accounted for only one-third. However, by 2040, this proportion 


will be almost completely reversed, with the non-OECD countries 


accounting for two-thirds of the total energy demand. Most of the 


increase in energy demand is concentrated in Asian developing 


countries, such as India and China. The improvement in economic 


development and living standards of these countries stimulates 


the growth of energy consumption.


On the supply side, oil exploration has been moving to open seas, 


deep waters, and onshore deep drilling. With the coming of the


U.S. oil revolution in 2011, producers are setting eyes on the oil 


and gas resources formerly locked away in shale, which has greatly 


increased the total recoverable reserves in the U.S.


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