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原油基本知识——What role does speculators play in the development of futures markets and the price discovery process? Do they manipulate the futures market?

时间:2025-06-11

Futures market function less eciently without speculative traders 


providing liquidity and assisting with price discovery. Moreover, 


the liquidity brought by speculative traders’ frequent trading 


activity may attract more hedgers or investors to participate in 


futures trading. Therefore, speculation is indispensable in the 


futures trading ecosystem.


Speculation is often mistaken for price manipulation, but this view 


lacks objectivity and fairness. Under certain market conditions– 


such as low market liquidity, inecient regulation, or excessive 


speculation, speculation may create an opportunity for market 


manipulation. What a futures market really needs is a solid 


regulatory infrastructure and robust surveillance system to inhibit 


market manipulation.


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