Futures market function less eciently without speculative traders
providing liquidity and assisting with price discovery. Moreover,
the liquidity brought by speculative traders’ frequent trading
activity may attract more hedgers or investors to participate in
futures trading. Therefore, speculation is indispensable in the
futures trading ecosystem.
Speculation is often mistaken for price manipulation, but this view
lacks objectivity and fairness. Under certain market conditions–
such as low market liquidity, inecient regulation, or excessive
speculation, speculation may create an opportunity for market
manipulation. What a futures market really needs is a solid
regulatory infrastructure and robust surveillance system to inhibit
market manipulation.
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