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保税铜期货40问2021版——What factors influence the price of copper?

时间:2025-06-12

Copper is one of the most important commodities on 


the market today. There are four major factors that 


influence its price.


First, fundamental factors. In the medium- and longterm, supply of copper concentrate has a negative 


correlation with copper price, while downstream copper 


consumption changes have a positive correlation 


with it. Other factors that affect supply and demand 


are seasonal changes in the operating rate of 


copper consuming industries, and changes in policy 


on recycled copper and in domestic and overseas 


inventories.


Second, macroeconomic factors. In general, the price 


of copper is influenced by the economic environment 


– giving the metal strong financial attributes. Its 


production and consumption are both closely related 


with the macro-economy, and therefore its price, often 


acts as a “barometer” accordingly, a function that has 


given the metal the moniker of “Doctor Copper.”


Third, monetary factors. Copper price is often 


negatively correlated with the U.S. Dollar Index and is 


influenced by momentary shift in market expectations 


on demand and inflation, following a change in interest 


rate, total social financing to the real economy, and M1/


M2 – three widely monitored indicators for financial 


environment and liquidity.


Fourth, sentimental factors. Changing market sentiment 


in response to unexpected events will intensify the 


volatility of global asset prices, including copper price.


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